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Climate change impacts on land use suitability
  • Future climate is likely to have a major impact on primary sectors and has the potential to drive major shifts in land use as previously suitable and viable climatic conditions change.

    The dataset - What is it?

    The data provides a look at the mid-century and late-century of the 2000’s under different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP). RCPs are different amounts of greenhouse gas concentrations, from a low of 2.6 to 8.5. The reporting focuses on predictions for Hawkes Bay, Waikato, and Southland. The land uses covered are pastoral farming, arable crops, and horticultural crops. Water management uses and related nitrogen leaching is also covered.

    Why it's important

    Although models have assumptions and limitations, they give foresight into climate change implications for primary industries.

    • How to use this information safely
      • Fitness for purpose / limitations

        This table indicates whether the dataset is suitable for different types of questions at different scales.

        Note: Users should carefully consider their purpose as this dataset may not be suitable.

         

        Operational

        Absolute

        Relative

        Screening/scoping

        Block/farm

        No

        No

        Maybe

        Maybe

        Multi-farms(5+)

        No

        No

        Maybe

        Maybe

        Catchment

        No

        Maybe

        Maybe

        Maybe

        National/regional

        No

        Maybe

        Maybe

        Maybe

        Caveats

        The impact of climate change on a range of crops, locations and scales was investigated using various models. Many of the modelled output layers have since been revised, however the general findings in this report are likely to be of interest.

        How to interpret this table

  • Please note:

    You can use this information to help form an understanding of climate change impacts on land use suitability.

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