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Future climate is likely to have a major impact on primary sectors and has the potential to drive major shifts in land use as previously suitable and viable climatic conditions change.
The dataset - What is it?
The data provides a look at the mid-century and late-century of the 2000’s under different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP). RCPs are different amounts of greenhouse gas concentrations, from a low of 2.6 to 8.5. The reporting focuses on predictions for Hawkes Bay, Waikato, and Southland. The land uses covered are pastoral farming, arable crops, and horticultural crops. Water management uses and related nitrogen leaching is also covered.
Why it's important
Although models have assumptions and limitations, they give foresight into climate change implications for primary industries.
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How to use this information safely
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Fitness for purpose / limitations
This table indicates whether the dataset is suitable for different types of questions at different scales.
Note: Users should carefully consider their purpose as this dataset may not be suitable.
Operational
Absolute
Relative
Screening/scoping
Block/farm
No
No
Maybe
Maybe
Multi-farms(5+)
No
No
Maybe
Maybe
Catchment
No
Maybe
Maybe
Maybe
National/regional
No
Maybe
Maybe
Maybe
Caveats
The impact of climate change on a range of crops, locations and scales was investigated using various models. Many of the modelled output layers have since been revised, however the general findings in this report are likely to be of interest.
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Please note:
You can use this information to help form an understanding of climate change impacts on land use suitability.
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